BoardFLUTFlutter EntertainmentWatch

FLUT has no report on the calendar yet.

Over 10 of its last 11 reports FLUT’s options priced a 7.3% move on average and the stock moved 7.2% by the close. Once the next report is dated, a free account shows the implied volatility behind it, and on the day it reports, the priced move and how rich it is against those eleven. The settled history below is public.

Open with a free account, on the report day

Priced movethe report’s own share

Richness · own historyagainst FLUT’s own last 12

Ratiopriced over what it typically moves

Ordinary volwith the report taken out

Forecast crushwritten the day before the report

Sellableat the bid, after the spread

FLUT · priced · with a free accountFLUT · priced

No report on the calendar yet

How FLUT’s options price its next report

Read at 15:46 ET from every expiry that holds the report, and split into the report’s own share and ordinary movement.

A free account opens

FLUT for its next reportthe implied volatility now; the priced move and its richness the day it reports
What selling it keptat the open, at 10:00 and at the close, report by report
Every other tickerwith no limit, and today’s board

Create a free account

We email you a link that signs you in. Already have one? Sign in

FLUT · history · 11 reports · priced vs actual · collapse vs forecastFLUT · history

Columns shown on a phoneMoveChartCrushForecast · P&L

Report	Report’s partPriced	RealizedC2C	By 10:00	CrushATM	As-sold	Open	ForecastPred.	Error
Nov 4 ’26BMO	—	−0.9%	−0.6%	—	—	—	—	—
Aug 5 ’26BMO	±11.5%	−11.5%	−9.5%	−34%	−28%	−35%	—	—
May 6 ’26AMC	±10.5%	+2.1%	+0.2%	−43%	−43%	−37%	−43%^rec	−1pt
Feb 26 ’26AMC	±10.0%	−13.8%	−16.6%	−23%	−22%	−11%	—	—
Nov 12 ’25AMC	±6.0%	−14.3%	−8.6%	−12%	−11%	−14%	−33%^rec	+21pt
Aug 7 ’25AMC	±4.7%	−8.3%	−7.8%	−35%	−39%	−30%	−36%^rec	+1pt
May 7 ’25AMC	±6.8%	−0.5%	−3.4%	−37%	−37%	−29%	−44%^rec	+7pt
Mar 4 ’25AMC	±8.1%	+1.4%	+0.3%	−33%	−32%	−31%	—	—
Nov 12 ’24AMC	±5.3%	+7.0%	+5.1%	−19%	−17%	−16%	−15%^rec	−4pt
Aug 13 ’24AMC	±7.7%	+8.1%	+9.6%	−27%	−25%	−23%	—	—
May 14 ’24AMC	±2.2%	+4.9%	+3.2%	−5%	3%	−3%	—	—
All · 11	±7.3% avg	7.2% avg either way	6.4% avg either way	−30% median	−26.5% median	−26% median	−36% median	6.8 average

What the columns mean6 groups · 10 columns

Report’s part: The report’s own share of what the options priced the day before, taken from two or more expiries.; ColumnsPriced
Realized: C2C is the previous close to the next close; By 10:00, the 09:55–10:05 ET average price against the previous close, never substituted from the open when it is missing.; ColumnsC2CBy 10:00
Chart: The grey band is what the options priced and the marks are what happened, on a ±25% scale.; ColumnsPriced · realized · ±25%
Crush: How far implied volatility fell in the report’s expiry. ATM is at the strike nearest the price, day before to day after at 15:46, read late in the session, so it does not compare with a figure read at the open. As-sold is at the strike a position was already holding; a blank there is not a small crush, because after a big move that strike is often no longer quoted the day after. Open is backed out of the option’s own 10:00 price the next morning.; ColumnsATMAs-soldOpen
Forecast: Pred. is the crush we wrote the day before the report and never changed, marked rec where it was rebuilt from history. Error is what happened minus the forecast, graded against the collapse at the new strike, in points of the crush.; ColumnsPred.Error
Sold: P&L: sold at the bid the day before and bought back at the 10:00 ask, as a share of the premium collected. A record of what happened, not a recommendation.; ColumnsP&L

The stock closed past the priced move on 6 of 10 reports, and was past it at 10:00 the next morning on 5 of 10. It held 80% or more of its 10:00 move into the close on 10 of 11. Sold P&L, locked here, is what selling the straddle kept at each report. It opens with a free account. A record of what happened, not a recommendation. A dash is a number we do not have, not a zero.

Reports11Next morning10 of 11OldestMay 202410:00 anchor = the 09:55–10:05 average price against the previous close

FLUT · three more tables · open with a free accountFLUT · three more tables

The rest of each reportThe quoted move before the split, the drift from the open to three sessions after, the 10:00 as-sold and 30-day crushes, the skew before and after, and the cover mark, for each of FLUT’s 11 reports.
What selling it keptWhat selling FLUT’s straddle the day before kept when it was bought back at the open, at 10:00 and at the close: the average, the median, the worst report and the losses, over its last 11 reports.
After the openWhether FLUT kept moving after the open or faded back by 10:00, and what the stored numbers say about the wings and the calendar: the typical distance to a wing, the slope at entry and the front-leg crush that followed.

Create a free accountWe email you a link that signs you in. Already have one? Sign in

FLUT · data quality on this name · every marker, countedFLUT · data quality on this name

We publish flagged reports instead of dropping them. A marker on one report says little about the company and one on most of them says a lot, so the count is what tells them apart.

Every marker on this name, counted against the report it touched, newest first as in the history above. The first column is the current reading.

nowNov 4
’26Aug 5
’26May 6
’26Feb 26
’26Nov 12
’25Aug 7
’25May 7
’25Mar 4
’25Nov 12
’24Aug 13
’24May 14
’24reports

macro event in the window10 of 11

no prediction5 of 11

wide decomposition band5 of 11

next-morning price from quotes5 of 11

held to expiry3 of 11

crush expiry substituted3 of 11

noisy IV rank3 of 11

derived numbers unreliable2 of 11

wide straddle quote2 of 11

gapped past the wings1 of 11

path incomplete1 of 11

two-session window1 of 11

no reading before the report1 of 11

What each marker means13 markers

macro event in the window A scheduled macro event (a CPI print, an FOMC day) falls inside the decomposition window, so a little of the volatility attributed to the event belongs to the calendar instead.Affects Implied (event)

no prediction No predicted crush could be frozen for this print, so it has no entry in the scored accuracy record. Never filled in afterwards — a prediction written after the outcome is not one.Affects Predicted crush · Error

wide decomposition band The decomposed implied move has a wide confidence band on this row. The number is published and kept off the board’s sort, because a sort cannot express an error bar; where its rank is shown, it is marked ≈.Affects Implied (event)

next-morning price from quotes The option at the 10:00 strike did not trade on both sides between 09:55 and 10:05, so the next-morning volatility was read from the midpoint of its quoted bid and ask over the same ten minutes. Used only when both sides were quoted and the quote was less than 50% wide.Affects Crush at 10:00

held to expiry The straddle that was sold expired at one of these closes, so its price there is its settlement value: the distance from the stock to the strike. That exit pays no bid/ask spread, and it ignores the cost of being assigned stock on the in-the-money leg.Affects Short-straddle P&L

crush expiry substituted The expiry that would have been measured was not available on both sides of the print, so a neighbouring one stood in. The crush is real; it is measured on a slightly different contract than the label implies.Affects Crush (re-struck)

noisy IV rank This name’s quote width is large against its own 52-week volatility range, so the rank carries a read error worth noting. A true property of a quiet name, not a defect — the rank itself is computed normally.Affects IV rank

derived numbers unreliable Quotes on this name were too wide — or a 25Δ wing was missing — for the derived numbers on this row to be trusted: implied move, decomposition, crush and skew. Shown, kept off the board’s sort, and marked ≈ where its rank is shown.Affects The derived columns

wide straddle quote The T−1 straddle’s bid-ask spread was wide relative to its own price, so every number read off that quote inherits the width. Published on purpose — the friction is real — but kept off the board’s sort, and marked ≈ where its rank is shown.Affects Implied (naive) · Short-straddle P&L

gapped past the wings The stock gapped far enough that the contract sold at T−1 is no longer near the money at the cover, so the as-sold crush there is partly a move along the smile rather than a collapse in volatility.Affects Crush at 10:00 (as sold)

path incomplete The T+2 or T+3 leg of the post-print path is missing, so the multi-day drift columns stop short of where a held position would.Affects T+2 · T+3

two-session window The reading before the report was taken one session earlier than usual, so the move includes one ordinary session more and the collapse is read from an earlier chain. Both are correct, and slightly different in kind from a one-session reading.Affects Every measured column

no reading before the report The calendar moved this report after its day-before session had already passed, so we hold no reading from before it. The move is measured; the collapse and the forecast are not.Affects Implied (event) · Every crush column

How to read this page

History table: Its columns are explained right under it: What the columns mean ↑
Coverage: FLUT’s 11 reports.
Priced move: Read at 15:46 ET.

A number looks wrong? Tell us what you expected and we’ll check it.Report a data issue